Bottom: This question intends to have readers infer a question will be asked within this question, without actually asking the question implied within it, hence it is either incomplete, or wittingly crafted to be nonsensical. My suspicion is the latter.
+Jefferey Cave A random response/answer to what? is essentially the issue I have with the premise. -- It's like asking someone to play a game of Whack-a-mole, while the mole has been removed from the inner workings of the game, and coercing the player to pretend there is at least one mole, while holding students' intellect and potential grade hostage, unless and only unless they are willing to wholeheartedly drum up enough self-delusion and neuroticism by way of "pretending" there is one and only one answer to "the question" alluded to, but never revealed in the name of education all to reveal a nonsensical result, bearing upon a line of reasoning that would likely not need to be repeated unless and only unless in response to yet more nonsensical inquiry. And what makes the whole affair even more sad, is the the poster on twitter doesn't even seem to know what statistics are, vs. the related, but still distinct mathematical field of probability theorization.
+Jefferey Cave Also, more to the point, nowhere did I come remotely close to implying I ever saw this silliness as anything other than a hot mess. Not then and not now. But, that doesn't mean I besmirch your right to believe what you want about it. And it is your profile. If it amuses you, what good could it possibly do you to try and convince me you have some ilk of privileged access to truth? Anyway, this isn't worth the time I've been spending on it for me anymore, so I'll leave you to see if you can solicit other peoples' opinions. Happy deducing.
random selection of 1 in 4, but there are 2 instances of 25%, making it a 1/2 chance, making it a 1 in 4 chance, making it a 1 in 2 making ...